Andy Butfoy
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A selection of published commentary and analysis with live links. Copyright restrictions and patchy web archiving prevent posting links to all articles. A  more complete list follows this sample.
  • 2023: Pushing the nuclear envelope
  • 2021:  From Korea to Kabul and Beyond
  • 2021:  Biden and the Bomb
  • 2020: The nuclear non-proliferation treaty at fifty: Doomsday Postponed
  • 2019:  Ending the INF treaty: Missile envy
  • 2018:  Trump’s nuclear weapons policy: President Trump’s Button
  • 2017:  Trump’s early efforts on international security: Offensive, defensive, everything.
  • 2016:  Obama’s nuclear legacy.
  • 2014:  The Ukraine crisis and nuclear arms control: Ukraine crisis threatens arms control gains.
  • 2013 : US-China balance of power: Imbalance of power.
  • 2011:  Australia and Indian nuclear proliferation (2): How Labor finished Bush’s uranium script • Inside Story.
  • 2010: Nuclear disarmament: nine steps to a revolution.
  • 2009: Obama and US nuclear first-use policy: Obama versus the Pentagon • Inside Story.
  • 2009: ‘Afghanistan: Leaders have not earned our trust’, The Interpreter.
  • 2009: What to expect of Obama’s foreign policy: Adjusting to change • Inside Story.
  • 2008: US policy on first-use of nuclear weapons: Will the US surrender the nuclear first-use option? | Australian Policy Online.
  • 2007: Australia and Indian nuclear proliferation (1): Welcoming in the gate-crasher | Australian Policy Online.
  • 2007: Causes & aftermath of Iraq invasion, The Age.
  • 2006: Iran’s nuclear program: Muddling through | Australian Policy Online.
  • 2005: US policy and the NPT (ABC radio transcript): Words of Mass Distraction.
  • 2003: Submission to Parliamentary Inquiry on Iraq -- navigate from this link.
  • 2003: Iraq invasion - The Age.
  • 2002: Muddle leading up to Iraq invasion: Why the government is in a muddle over Iraq – The Age. 
  
Full list of academic/non-fiction publications (approximately 100)

Single Authored Books (2)
  • Disarming proposals: controlling nuclear, biological and chemical weapons (Sydney: University of New South Wales Press, 2005).
  • Common Security and Strategic Reform: A Critical Analysis (London: Macmillian, 1997 & New York: St. Martins, 1997).

​Published Media Commentary (44)

INSIDE STORY: CURRENT AFFAIRS AND CULTURE:
  • 'Pushing the nuclear envelope', 22.2.23.
  • 'From Korea to Kabul and Beyond', 23.8.21.
  • 'Biden and the Bomb', 1.2.21.
  • 'The nuclear non-proliferation treaty at fifty: Doomsday postponed,' 13.3.20. 
  • 'Ending the INF treaty: Missile Envy', 6.2.2019.
  • 'President Trump’s Button', 5.2.2018.
  • ‘Offensive, defensive, everything’, 9.3.2017.
  • ‘Obama’s nuclear legacy’, 28,11.2016.
  • ‘Imbalance of power”,  5.4.2013.
  • ‘How Labor finished Bush’s uranium script‘,  23.11.2011.
  • ‘Nuclear disarmament: nine steps to a revolution, 8.4.2010.
  • ‘Obama versus the Pentagon’, 25.9.2009.
  • ‘Adjusting to change’, 17.4.2009.
THE AUSTRALIAN FINANCIAL REVIEW:
  • ‘Renewed hope for end to nuclear threat’, p. 47, 20.1.2009.
DISSENT MAGAZINE (US)
  • ‘President Obama and Nuclear Disarmament’, August 2011.
THE INTERPRETER:
  • ‘Afghanistan: Leaders have not earned our trust’, 7.10.2009.
AUSTRALIAN POLICY ON-LINE:
  • ‘Will the US surrender the nuclear first-use option?’, 19.6.2008.
  • ‘Arms control: welcoming in the gate-crasher’, 20.8.2007.
  • ‘Shock Value’, 26.6.2007.
  • ‘Iran: Muddling Through’, 8.2.2006.
  • ‘Overtaken by Events?’, 20.7.2005.
THE AGE (MELBOURNE) (24):
  • ‘Ukraine crisis threatens arms control gains’ (also published in the Sydney Morning Herald, The Brisbane Times, WA Today, and the Canberra Times), 3/4.9.14.
  • ‘We need to strengthen, not weaken, nuclear deterrent’, 21.1.2011. (The headline used by the paper is misleading: the piece deals with possible uranium sales to India.)
  • ‘Australia is backing a nuclear rogue’, 20.8.2007.
  • ‘A solution in Iraq can’t ignore the choices that started the war’, p. 11, 26.3.2007.
  • Untitled, p.2, 2.4.2003.
  • ‘We must not fritter away the chance to limit nuclear weapons’, p.19, 24.10.2002.
  • ‘Why the government is in such a muddle over war with Iraq’, p.13, 21.8.2002.
  • ‘America’s dangerous nuclear game’, 14.3.2002.
  • Untitled, p. A9, 5.11.2001.
  • ‘Partners in panic should know better’, p.17, 17.10.2001.
  • Untitled, 26.9.01.
  • ‘America’s defence spending is absurd’, p.13, 29.1.2001.
  • ‘Two questions our defence chiefs refuse to ask’, (News Extra) p.7, 16.12.2000.
  • ‘Why the US missile program won’t die’, p.15, 11.7.2000.
  • ‘Clinton’s cruise control’, p.9, 27.5.2000.
  • ‘Son of Star Wars tilts the balance’, p. 13, 28.4.2000.
  • ‘Does our military match our needs’, p. 17, 1.3.2000.
  • ‘The nuclear genie is still out there’, p.15, 31.1.2000.
  • ‘Unpalatable truths behind the cloisters’, 11.11.1999.
  • ‘What has NATO got to celebrate?’, p. 17, 9.6.1999.
  • ‘America: global hero or villain’, p.15, 24.3.1999.
  • ‘Uranium: how we profit and make others pay’, p.15, 8.3.1999.
  • ‘Students lose in market share war’, p.13, 24.3.1998.
  • ‘Australia toes the line’, p. A17, 18.2.1998.
THE CANBERRA TIMES:
  • ‘Dangerous fallout for arms control’, 3.12.2011.
  • ‘Disarming Obama makes a START’, 10.4.2010.
  • ‘Obama’s Nuclear Conundrum’, 26.9.09.
The Herald Sun:
  • ‘Misled from Baghdad to ballot box’, p.20, 15.4.2004.
MISCELLANEOUS:
  • Words of Mass Destruction, for Perspective, ABC Radio National, 22.7.2005
  • Submission to the Australian Parliamentary Joint Committee on ASIO, ASIS and DSD: Inquiry into Intelligence on Iraq’s Weapons of Mass Destruction, 2003.
Single Authored Articles in Refereed Academic Journals (11)
  • ‘American Exceptionalism and President Obama’s Call for the Abolition of Nuclear Weapons’, Contemporary Security Policy, 33:3 (December 2012).
  • ‘Washington’s Apparent Readiness to Start Nuclear War’, Survival, 50:5 (October-November 2008).
  • ‘The Rise and Fall of Missile Diplomacy? President Clinton and the Revolution in Military Affairs in Retrospect’, Australian Journal of Politics and History, 52:1 (2006), pp.98-114.
  • ‘Perpetuating US Nuclear First-Use into the Indefinite Future: Reckless Inertia or Pillar of World Order?’, Contemporary Security Policy (UK), 23:2 (August 2002), pp. 149-168.
  • ‘Is Arms Control Approaching a Dead-End?’, Australian Journal of International Affairs, 52:3 (November 1998), pp. 293-307.
  • ‘Offence-Defence Theory and The Security Dilemma: The Problem With Marginalising The Context’, Contemporary Security Policy (UK), 18:3 (December1997), pp. 38-58.
  • ‘The Evolving Framework for Arms Control’, Australian Journal of International Affairs, 48:1 (May 1994), pp. 37-51.
  • ‘Themes Within The Collective Security Idea’, The Journal of Strategic Studies (US/UK), 16:4 (December 1993), pp. 490-510.
  • ‘Rationalising The Bomb? Strategic Studies and The US Nuclear Umbrella’, The Australian Journal of Politics and History, 40:2 (1993), pp.145-161.
  • ‘The Marginalisation of Nuclear Weapons in World Politics? The Case of Flexible Response’, Australian Journal of Political Science, 28:2 (July 1993), pp. 271-289.
  • ‘Collective Security: Theory, Problems and Reformulations’, Australian Journal of International Affairs, 47:1 (May 1993), pp. 1-14.
Book Chapters (8)
• ‘Nuclear Strategy’, in Craig Snyder (ed.) Contemporary Security and Strategy (London: Palgrave Macmillan, third edition, 2012).
• ‘Nuclear Strategy’, in Craig Snyder (ed.) Contemporary Security and Strategy (London: Macmillan, second edition, 2008).
• ‘US Nuclear Weapons Doctrine: Implications for Nuclear Non-Proliferation’, in Carl Ungerer and Marianne Hanson (eds), The Politics of Nuclear Non-Proliferation (St Leonards: Allen & Unwin, 2001), pp. 158-170.
• ‘Controlling the spread of weapons of mass destruction’, in Marianne Hanson & William Tow (eds), International Relations in the New Century: An Australian Perspective (Oxford University Press, 2001).
• ‘The Future of Nuclear Strategy’, in Craig Snyder (ed.) Contemporary Security and Strategy (London: Macmillan, 1999).
• ‘The Limited Use of Force in National and Multinational Operations’, in Anthony Bergin (ed), Australian Security in a New Era (Canberra: Australian Defence Studies Centre, 1998).
• ‘Testing the Limits – Alternative Perspectives’, in Shaun Clarke (ed) Testing the Limits (Canberra: Air Power Studies Centre, 1998).
• ‘Arms Control Regimes: Some Critical Reflections’, in Stephanie Lawson (ed.), The New Agenda for Global Security:’Cooperating for Peace’ and Beyond (St Leonards: Allen and Unwin, 1995), pp. 75-88.
Working Papers (8)
• Ameliorating the Security Dilemma: Structural and Perceptual Approaches to Strategic Reform (Canberra: ANU, Department of International Relations, Working Paper 1996/1, 1996) 24 pages.
• Recasting Common Security (Canberra: ANU, Department of International Relations. Working Paper 1995/8, 1995) 31 pages.
• Critical Reflections on Non-Offensive Defence (Melbourne: Monash University, Centre for International Relations, Working Paper 14, 1995), 29 pages.
• Arms Control Regimes: Some Critical Reflections (Melbourne: Monash University, Centre for International Relations, Working Paper 9, 1994), 10 pages.
• Containing the Spread of Nuclear Weapons (Melbourne: Monash University, Centre for International Relations, Working Paper 8, 1994), 17 pages.
• Arms Control: The Evolving Agenda (Melbourne: Monash University, Centre for International Relations, Working Paper 1, 1993), 16 pages.
• The Military Dimension of Common Security (Canberra: ANU, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Working Paper 254, 1992), 17 pages.
• Strategic Studies and Extended Deterrence in Europe: A Retrospective(Canberra: ANU, Strategic and Defence Studies Centre, Working Paper 252, 1992), 27 pages.
Book Reviews for Academic Journals (23)
• Kelle,et al, Preventing a Biochemical Arms Race (Stanford Security Studies, Stanford University Press, 2012). For Contemporary Security Policy, 34:1 (April 2013).
• Campbell, et al (eds), The Nuclear Tipping Point: Why States Reconsider Their Nuclear Choices (Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2004), for: Global Change, Peace & Security, October 2005.
• Art & P. Cronin (eds), The United States and Coercive Diplomacy (Washington DC: United States Institute of Peace), for: Australian Journal of International Affairs, September 2005.
• Blix, Disarming Iraq: The Search for Weapons of Mass Destruction (London: Bloomsbury Publishing, 2004). For Contemporary Security Policy, April 2005.
• Tkacik, The Future of US Nuclear Operational Doctrine (New York: The Edwin Mellen Press, 2003). For: Australian Journal of Political Science, March 2004.
• Brown, The Illusion of Control: Force and Foreign Policy in the 21stCentury (Washington DC: Brookings Institution Press, 2003). For: Global Change, Peace & Security, February 2004.
• Lennon (ed), Contemporary Nuclear Debates: Missile Defense, Arms Control, and Arms Races in the Twenty-First Century (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2002). For Political Studies Review, September 2003.
• Copeland, The Origins of Major War (Ithaca NY: Cornell University Press, 2000). For: Contemporary Security Policy, April 2002.
• Lavoy, S. Sagan, & J. Wirtz (eds), Planning The Unthinkable: How New Powers Will Use Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Weapons (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 2000). For: Australian Journal of Political Science, November 2001.
• Haass, The Reluctant Sheriff: The United States After the Cold War (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 1997). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, April 1998.
• Institute for National Strategic Studies, Strategic Assessment 1996: Instruments of US Power (Washington DC: National Defense University, 1996). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, November 1997.
• Stuart & W. Tow, Security Policy in the Asia-Pacific: A US Strategy for a New Century? (Brisbane: Centre for the Study of Australia-Asia Relations, 1996). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, November 1997.
• Klein, Strategic Studies and World Order: The Global Politics of Deterrence (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1994). For: Australian Journal of Political Science, July 1995.
• Campbell, Writing Security: United States Foreign Policy and the Politics of Identity (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1992). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, May 1994.
• Millar & J. Walter (eds.), Asian-Pacific Security After the Cold War(Canberra: ANU/Allen & Unwin, 1993). For: Asian Studies Review, April 1994.
• Feld, The Future of European Security and Defense Policy (Boulder: Lynne Rienner, 1993). For: Australian Journal of Political Science, November 1993.
• Brauch & R. Kennedy (eds.), Alternative Conventional Defense Postures in the European Theater: Volume III – Force Posture Alternatives for Europe After the Cold War (Washington DC: Crane Russak, 1993). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, October 1993.
• Blair, The Logic of Accidental Nuclear War (Washington DC: The Brookings Institution, 1993). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, October 1993.
• Brauch & R. Kennedy, (eds.), Alternative Conventional Defense Postures in the European Theatre: Volume II – The Impact of Political Change on Strategy, Technology, and Arms Control (New York: Crane Russak, 1992). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, November 1992.
• Moller, Common Security and Nonoffensive Defence: A Neorealist Perspective (Boulder, Co.: Lynne Rienner, 1992). For: Interdisciplinary Peace Research, May/June 1992.
• Daalder, The Nature and Practice of Flexible Response: NATO Strategy and Theater Nuclear Forces Since 1967 (New York: Columbia University Press, 1991). For: Australian Journal of Political Science, July 1992.
• Booth (ed.), New Thinking about Strategy and International Security (London: Harper Collins Academic, 1991). For: Interdisciplinary Peace Research, October-November 1991.
• von Hippel and R. Sagdeev (eds.), Reversing the Arms Race: How to Achieve and Verify Deep Reductions in the Nuclear Arsenals (New York: Gordon and Breach Science Publishers, 1990). For: Australian Journal of International Affairs, May 1991.

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  • About Andy
  • Blog
  • Published analysis
  • Fiction
  • Woodwork